Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000773 0.000883 0.000999 0.001130 0.001275 0.001429 0.001605
2024-12-29 0.000591 0.000741 0.000912 0.001118 0.001358 0.001629 0.001954
2025-01-05 0.000500 0.000668 0.000868 0.001120 0.001426 0.001782 0.002224
2025-01-12 0.000423 0.000600 0.000820 0.001107 0.001467 0.001899 0.002451
2025-01-19 0.000361 0.000541 0.000773 0.001087 0.001493 0.001992 0.002643
2025-01-26 0.000328 0.000515 0.000765 0.001112 0.001572 0.002149 0.002917
2025-02-02 0.000298 0.000490 0.000754 0.001131 0.001641 0.002295 0.003178
2025-02-09 0.000260 0.000450 0.000718 0.001113 0.001659 0.002372 0.003351
2025-02-16 0.000227 0.000411 0.000681 0.001089 0.001666 0.002432 0.003502
2025-02-23 0.000208 0.000392 0.000672 0.001101 0.001722 0.002558 0.003741
2025-03-02 0.000190 0.000374 0.000660 0.001110 0.001771 0.002675 0.003969
2025-03-09 0.000165 0.000341 0.000623 0.001079 0.001761 0.002710 0.004086
2025-03-16 0.000142 0.000309 0.000587 0.001047 0.001749 0.002742 0.004201
2025-03-23 0.000127 0.000291 0.000571 0.001044 0.001780 0.002834 0.004400
2025-03-30 0.000115 0.000275 0.000557 0.001043 0.001813 0.002929 0.004606
2025-04-06 0.000102 0.000257 0.000537 0.001032 0.001828 0.002998 0.004775
2025-04-13 0.000090 0.000238 0.000514 0.001013 0.001830 0.003048 0.004916
2025-04-20 0.000085 0.000233 0.000516 0.001036 0.001899 0.003196 0.005203
2025-04-27 0.000079 0.000226 0.000515 0.001054 0.001959 0.003333 0.005475
2025-05-04 0.000070 0.000211 0.000495 0.001037 0.001962 0.003384 0.005620
2025-05-11 0.000061 0.000194 0.000472 0.001014 0.001955 0.003417 0.005740
2025-05-18 0.000057 0.000188 0.000469 0.001027 0.002005 0.003540 0.005995
2025-05-25 0.000052 0.000181 0.000464 0.001034 0.002048 0.003651 0.006235